“Trust is the essence of leadership.”
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Prime Minister of Villa Somalia Hamze Bare’s statement reflects Villa Somalia’s continued stance on influencing Somaliland’s political trajectory, particularly in light of the upcoming election. His announcement indicates that the Somali government may have expectations or preferred outcomes
concerning the leadership change in Somaliland.
This approach might further complicate the already delicate relationship between Somalia and
Somaliland, especially given Somaliland’s firm stance on its independence and sovereignty. Backing the incoming leader could be seen as an attempt by the Somali government to assert influence over Somaliland, potentially intensifying political tensions in the region. What do you think the reaction might be within Somaliland to such a declaration?
1. Prime Minister Bare expressed confidence that the upcoming election in Somaliland would bring about a change in leadership. He hinted at the Somali government’s anticipation of a new administration aligning more closely with Somalia’s vision for the region. This suggests that Villa Somalia might support certain political factions or candidates within Somaliland, hoping they will steer the region towards reconciliation with Somalia.
2. During his address, Prime Minister Bare stressed his government’s unwavering commitment to providing full support to the incoming leader in Somaliland.
This commitment was articulated within the broader context of the government’s concerted efforts to promote national unity, enhance stability, and drive economic prosperity across the Somali territories.
Through this support, the Somali government appears to be strategically positioning itself to potentially influence the policies and direction of the new leadership as their anticipation, with the aim of fostering closer ties and collaboration between Somaliland and Somalia.
3. Bare’s message was centred on national unity. He emphasised that Somalia and Somaliland’s futures are intertwined and that collaborative efforts are essential for achieving shared prosperity. This rhetoric of unity has been a recurring theme from Villa Somalia despite Somaliland’s consistent assertion of its independence since 1991.
The Prime Minister’s remarks are likely to be viewed with suspicion in Somaliland, particularly by those who advocate for the region’s complete independence. Many within Somaliland may perceive this as an attempt by Somalia to meddle in their internal affairs and potentially undermine Somaliland’s statehood.
The announcement could influence the dynamics of the upcoming election in Somaliland. Political parties and leaders may now be scrutinized for perceived ties to Villa Somalia. The implication that Somalia will support a new leader may pressure candidates to either distance themselves from Somalia or face backlash from the electorate.
Prime Minister Bare’s focus on unity and collaboration may have the opposite effect in Somaliland, galvanising pro-independence sentiments.
The notion that Villa Somalia expects to shape Somaliland’s leadership might further strengthen the resolve of those who view Somaliland as a fully independent state that Mogadishu’s political agenda should not influence.
This move could also raise concerns among Somaliland’s regional allies, particularly Ethiopia, which has interests in the stability of Somaliland and its ports. Any perceived efforts by Somalia to increase its influence in Somaliland might trigger diplomatic responses from neighbouring countries.
Prime Minister Bare’s recent speech suggests that Villa Somalia is taking a more assertive approach in influencing the future leadership of Somaliland. While this proactive stance indicates a desire for a more active role, it also risks further inflaming existing tensions and deepening divisions between political parties. The reaction within Somaliland is expected to be varied, with proponents of independence likely perceiving this as a direct threat to their nation.
God save Somaliland “
The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Araweelo News Network
Eng. ABDI ALI BARKHAD
Independent Political Analyst 24824
Hargeisa Somaliland tra50526@gmail.com