Somaliland was attacked by three Wolves: China, Turkey, and Villa-Somalia.

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The geopolitical scenario I described paints a vivid picture of the intricate challenges Somaliland faces, with Somalia, China, and Turkey playing pivotal roles in shaping the region’s dynamics. Here’s a refined narrative:

The Three Wolves: China, Turkey, and Villa Somalia

Somaliland, in its quest for international recognition and legitimacy, is navigating a perilous geopolitical landscape. Two powerful actors and Villa-Somalia, China, and Turkey—are exerting significant influence over the region, each with distinct interests and strategies that complicate Somaliland’s path towards sovereignty.

Villa Somalia: A Persistent Challenge

  • Since Somaliland restated its independence in 1991, Villa Somalia has viewed this move as an illegal secession. The central government in Mogadishu has consistently rejected Somaliland’s claims, emphasizing the need for national unity and the preservation of Somalia’s territorial integrity.
  • Somalia exerts significant diplomatic pressure on international organizations and neighboring countries to prevent them from recognizing Somaliland. It often portrays Somaliland’s push for independence as destabilizing in the fragile Horn of Africa.
  • Somalia’s federal government has allegedly supported militia groups in contested regions like Sool and Lasanod, Which are of significant strategic importance to Somaliland. This military involvement aims to destabilise Somaliland and prevent it from solidifying control over these regions.

China’s Strategic Interests

China’s engagement in the Horn of Africa, particularly in Somaliland, reflects its broader geopolitical ambitions. Recent reports of China allegedly supplying the Sool Militia with military-grade ammunition and resources underscore its increasing military involvement in the region. The shipment of 20 trucks loaded with ammunition and food supplies to Lasanood from Bosaso Port illustrates a strategic maneuver to counterbalance Somaliland’s diplomatic ties with Taiwan and Western nations. China’s interest in Somaliland’s strategic location, especially the port of Berbera, aligns with its Belt and Road Initiative, seeking to secure critical trade routes and expand its influence.

Economic and Geopolitical Interests:

  • China views Somaliland’s port of Berbera as a critical asset in its Belt and Road Initiative. Berbera’s strategic location on the Gulf of Aden makes it a vital link for maritime trade routes, offering China a foothold in the Red Sea and the broader Horn of Africa.
  • Somaliland’s diplomatic engagement with Taiwan has significantly irritated China. In response, China has reportedly increased its support to entities that challenge Somaliland’s stability, as seen in the alleged supply of military-grade ammunition to militias opposed to Somaliland’s government. This support not only aims to weaken Somaliland but also serves as a warning to other regions or countries that might consider formal ties with Taiwan.

Turkey’s Expanding Footprint

Turkey’s involvement in Somaliland is part of its broader strategy in the Horn of Africa. Through economic investments and military partnerships with Somalia, Turkey aims to strengthen its foothold in the region. This engagement often undermines Somaliland’s independence aspirations, aligning more with Somalia’s federal government to consolidate influence. Turkey’s dual strategy of economic development and military cooperation creates additional layers of complexity for Somaliland, which must navigate these external pressures while striving to maintain its autonomy.

Turkey’s Expanding Influence

  • Turkey has invested heavily in Somalia, particularly in infrastructure projects such as the Mogadishu port and airport. These investments strengthen Somalia’s economy and, by extension, its central government, indirectly impacting Somaliland by shifting regional power dynamics in favor of Mogadishu.
  • Turkey has established a military base in Mogadishu, training Somali troops and enhancing Somalia’s military capabilities. This development is concerning for Somaliland as it could tip the balance of power, making Somalia more assertive in its claims over Somaliland.

Egypt’s Strategic Interests

In a recent diplomatic meeting held in Cairo, which included the foreign ministers of Egypt, Eritrea, and Somalia, the Egyptian foreign minister made a firm and unequivocal statement regarding regional security. He emphasized that the Egyptian government strongly opposed the establishment of an Ethiopian naval base in the strategically important areas of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. This declaration was made during a detailed discussion attended by the Somali president, who was present to address various regional issues. The meeting highlighted Egypt’s concerns regarding potential regional naval power dynamics shifts, especially in light of ongoing tensions. The discussions in Addis Ababa took place in the context of rising geopolitical competition, emphasising the importance of maintaining stability in these critical maritime routes.

Turkey and Egypt, mistakenly acknowledge Somaliland’s jurisdiction as that of an independent nation. This recognition overlooks the complex reality of Somaliland’s situation. Egypt’s perception is misguided if it thinks that the Ethiopian government—a historically close ally of Somaliland—would contravene Somaliland’s interests without some form of external interference.

Furthermore, it is important to understand that Somaliland has the sovereign right to develop its own economic and military partnerships, including the establishment of a naval base. Such a base could facilitate enhanced economic ties and strategic cooperation, benefitting both Somaliland and its partners. By recognizing Somaliland’s independence and supporting its right to enter into agreements, countries can contribute to stability in the region and promote mutually beneficial relationships.

Call for Somaliland friends.

Somaliland, likened to an orphaned child in this tumultuous environment, faces constant threats from these three “wolves.” Its strategic coastline and potential as a trade hub make it a coveted prize for regional and global powers. As Somalia, China, and Turkey maneuver to assert their dominance, Somaliland’s struggle for stability, recognition, and security becomes increasingly challenging.

The information contained in the article posted represents the views and opinions of the author and does not necessarily represent the views or opinions commentators. the article a opininian of the author don’t necessarily reflect the Editorial policy of Araweelo News Network.

By ENG.ABDI ALI BARKHAD

Independent Political Analyst As a proud Somali Ethiopian born in Dire Dawa, I have gained valuable experiences that shape my perspective and ambitions. My educational journey in this vibrant country (Ethiopia) has equipped me with knowledge and skills that drive me toward a brighter future.